Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 0.290707 0.340022 0.392135 0.451021 0.515428 0.583464 0.660497
2025-02-02 0.225060 0.292889 0.369292 0.460567 0.565509 0.681331 0.817765
2025-02-09 0.170112 0.246981 0.339207 0.455240 0.594656 0.754313 0.948513
2025-02-16 0.134759 0.217647 0.323164 0.462154 0.635494 0.840056 1.095244
2025-02-23 0.103900 0.188082 0.301997 0.458931 0.661598 0.907364 1.220853
2025-03-02 0.075037 0.155254 0.271518 0.439492 0.664252 0.944207 1.309019
2025-03-09 0.059618 0.139053 0.261180 0.444586 0.696903 1.017645 1.442303
2025-03-16 0.044129 0.118961 0.242120 0.435086 0.708462 1.063341 1.540808
2025-03-23 0.037494 0.112882 0.243290 0.453737 0.757843 1.158125 1.702335
2025-03-30 0.028837 0.100515 0.232589 0.453504 0.780290 1.217384 1.818779
2025-04-06 0.022221 0.090307 0.223910 0.455114 0.804567 1.278805 1.938287
2025-04-13 0.017943 0.084046 0.221132 0.465242 0.840770 1.356381 2.079496
2025-04-20 0.014773 0.079695 0.221573 0.480883 0.886111 1.448237 2.242413
2025-04-27 0.012046 0.075511 0.221751 0.495895 0.930772 1.539877 2.406359
2025-05-04 0.008492 0.066855 0.211855 0.493210 0.948493 1.594281 2.521161
2025-05-11 0.006437 0.062051 0.209072 0.502191 0.983812 1.673519 2.670062
2025-05-18 0.004281 0.054973 0.200236 0.499762 1.001101 1.727286 2.784855
2025-05-25 0.002164 0.044857 0.182501 0.479743 0.989674 1.739423 2.842521
2025-06-01 0.001385 0.041055 0.179025 0.485455 1.018859 1.809958 2.980759
2025-06-08 0.000615 0.034749 0.167842 0.475570 1.022229 1.842735 3.066835
2025-06-15 0.000445 0.034190 0.171949 0.495439 1.074523 1.947581 3.253961
2025-06-22 0.000179 0.030372 0.166161 0.495254 1.093493 2.003454 3.373066
2025-06-29 0.000054 0.027216 0.161563 0.496996 1.115461 2.063808 3.498797